Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran strikes back against latest US attacks, vowing ‘severe’ consequences
Iran struck US interests around the Middle East on Wednesday, vowing "severe" consequences for renewed American attacks on the Islamic republic, including a US strike it said killed five and wounded dozens of civilians at a wedding.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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