Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with missiles and drones, air defence downs 141 assets
Russia attacked Ukraine with missiles and 174 UAVs overnight, around half of them jet-powered. Ukrainian air defence shot down or jammed 141 assets.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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