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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Daily Memo: Russian Oil Production, Strikes on Iran

Declining output. Russia is downgrading its forecast for oil production in 2026-29 amid ongoing drone attacks on its oil refineries and infrastructure. Though the figures aren’t set to be officially released until late September, Reuters reports that production estimates will be reduced by 16 million-20 million tons per year compared to the previous forecast released […] The post Daily Memo: Russian Oil Production, Strikes on Iran appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

66%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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