Natural··Severity 9
Rare train of Pacific cyclones fueled by historic El Nino
Hurricane Lowell and Hurricane Karina moved through the Pacific Ocean on Wednesday, fuelled by a historically strong El Nino climate episode. This year's El Nino has a 69 percent chance of becoming the strongest on record, and it is already linked to extreme weather despite not being expected to peak until October-December.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
52%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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