← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 7

Sharp rise in utility bills pushes Russia's inflation further off target

The October increase follows a January rise and is the first double tariff hike in four years. The central bank warned it would push annual inflation further above its 4% target in an economy already squeezed by the costs of its war, sanctions and a 21% key interest rate.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

45%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Euronews

Checking access status…