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Economic··Severity 7

From Partnership to Penalty: US Tariffs Shadow India Trade Deal

The promise of deeper economic cooperation is undermined by punitive measures that could torpedo the India-U.S. pact even before it is signed.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

37%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: The Diplomat

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