Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran attacks US bases in UAE, Bahrain — army statement
The Iranian army said that dozens of drones carried out strikes on radar systems and US troop deployment sites
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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