Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump threatens more strikes as death toll in Iran rises to 18
Trump says US can hit Iran 'anytime we want' as Tehran says deadly strikes, including on wedding party, a war crime.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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