Geopolitical··Severity 9
Mideast live: Kuwait army says intercepting missile, drone attack from Iran
Kuwait's army said Thursday it was intercepting a missile and drone attack from Iran, as Tehran targeted US allies in the Middle East. Iran has targeted US bases in Kuwait, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region after extensive US bombardment on Tuesday of sites across the Islamic republic. Follow our liveblog for the latest developments.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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