Geopolitical··Severity 8
VW, Amazon and others name blacklisted groups among potential suppliers
More than 160 US companies unable to rule out sanctioned smelters in test of western efforts to clamp down on conflict minerals
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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