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Economic··Severity 7

Global bond slump looks painful, but its nothing like the 2022 rout

Global bond markets are experiencing a selloff, though less severe than four years ago. Current yield increases are smaller, providing some market reassurance and new opportunities. Heavy government spending and AI financing are adding pressure to bond markets. Higher yields offer investors a better income cushion against falling prices. Bond yields may still rise due to inflation and debt issuance pressures.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

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