Social··Severity 6
BBC in Tehran as mourners gather for supreme leader's funeral
Iranian authorities say they expect millions of people to take part in funeral commemorations for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
27%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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