Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran pushes back against US as regional attacks heat up
New round of strikes raises fears of further escalation as Iran rejects Omani proposal for joint Hormuz oversight.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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