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Economic··Severity 7

Treasury Yields Hit Two-Month High as Oil Sparks Inflation Risk

The US Treasury market fell, pushing 10- and 30-year yields to the highest levels in about two months, as a surge in crude oil prices stoked concern that inflationary pressures will prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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