Geopolitical··Severity 8
Oil Prices Volatile as Supply Disruptions Hit Four Global Fronts
Brent futures surged past $100 a barrel as the conflict in the Middle East widens and Ukraine strikes Russian infrastructure.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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