Geopolitical··Severity 9
Middle East live: US launches new strikes on Iran as oil prices skyrocket
The United States launched a new series of strikes in Iran on Friday, while Iran-backed Houthi rebels opened a second front in the conflict, attacking Saudi tankers in the Red Sea and sending oil prices skyrocketing. Follow our liveblog for the latest developments.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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