Geopolitical··Severity 8
Protests against removal of popular defence minister erupt across Ukraine
Rare wartime protests in Ukraine erupted across the country on Thursday with demonstrators demanding that President Volodymyr Zelensky reappoint Mykhailo Fedorov, who was removed from office on Wednesday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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