Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia pounds Ukraine with missile, drone strikes
Footage shows firefighters extinguishing a massive fire after Russia launched air strikes on Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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