Natural··Severity 9
Ebola deaths in DRC surge past 1,300 as virus ‘spreading like a wildfire’
The outbreak is spreading at the fastest rate ever recorded and threatens to become the worst in history.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
52%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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