Natural··Severity 7
The US Is Making the Most Fuel Since Pre-Covid. It’s Not Enough.
US refiners are turning crude oil into products like gasoline and diesel at a pace not seen since before the Covid-19 pandemic, but even that is unlikely to rein in soaring prices soon amid a historic fuel crunch.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
36%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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