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Ukrainian drones hit two Russian shadow fleet tankers in Black Sea
The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU), in cooperation with the Navy, has struck two tankers from Russia's so-called "shadow fleet" – the Louise 1 and the Banda – in the Black Sea using naval drones.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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