Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran was the most successful failure in US airpower history
The US entered the conflict with a detailed plan for a war of destruction, but no serious plan for Iran’s war of disruption.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Breaking Defense
Checking access status…