Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump threatens Iran strikes after attack on US base in Jordan
”It’s our turn.” President Donald Trump says the US will hit Iran “very hard” following an attack on US forces in Jordan
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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