Geopolitical··Severity 6
US petrol prices climb back above $4 as Iran war intensifies
Resurgent costs drive frustration with President Donald Trump ahead of midterm elections
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Checking access status…