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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Since Islamabad MoU: What’s changed for the US, Iran and the Gulf?

We explain how the war has changed for all the parties since their MoU unravelled and as the conflict has escalated.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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