МИД России предостерегает страны от сотрудничества с такими организациями, как Британский Совет

Scenario Analysis Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Russia escalates its rhetoric against British Council and other similar organizations, potentially issuing sanctions or diplomatic pressure on countries collaborating with them. This could lead to a gradual reduction in funding for educational programs and cultural exchange initiatives. * Confirmation Indicators: Increased media coverage of the Russian MFA warning, official statements from UK government regarding potential sanctions, and a noticeable decrease in participation rates in British Council-organized events. * Time Horizon: 10-20 days Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The situation remains largely unchanged. Russia continues to express concerns about the activities of Western organizations, but no significant action is taken. The UK government maintains its stance on cultural exchange

Scenario Analysis Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Russia escalates its rhetoric against British Council and other similar organizations, potentially issuing sanctions or diplomatic pressure on countries collaborating with them. This could lead to a gradual reduction in funding for educational programs and cultural exchange initiatives. * Confirmation Indicators: Increased media coverage of the Russian MFA warning, official statements from UK government regarding potential sanctions, and a noticeable decrease in participation rates in British Council-organized events. * Time Horizon: 10-20 days Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The situation remains largely unchanged. Russia continues to express concerns about the activities of Western organizations, but no significant action is taken. The UK government maintains its stance on cultural exchange

Scenario Analysis Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Russia escalates its rhetoric against British Council and other similar organizations, potentially issuing sanctions or diplomatic pressure on countries collaborating with them. This could lead to a gradual reduction in funding for educational programs and cultural exchange initiatives. * Confirmation Indicators: Increased media coverage of the Russian MFA warning, official statements from UK government regarding potential sanctions, and a noticeable decrease in participation rates in British Council-organized events. * Time Horizon: 10-20 days Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The situation remains largely unchanged. Russia continues to express concerns about the activities of Western organizations, but no significant action is taken. The UK government maintains its stance on cultural exchange