Geopolitical··Severity 6
Turning Oil to Fuel Has Never Been More Profitable as Refining Margins Surge
Profit margins for US refiners making gasoline and diesel from crude oil are shattering records, as fuel supply disruptions driven by war lift prices for refined products.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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