Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia attacks Ukraine with ballistic missile, air-launched missiles and 168 drones, hitting nine locations
Russia launched a ballistic missile, five Kh-59/69 air-to-surface missiles and 168 drones overnight. Ukrainian air defences downed 156 aerial assets, but strikes were recorded at nine locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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