Geopolitical··Severity 6
Cocaine-Funded Gangs Shake Colombia Years After Peace Pact
Attacks by powerful militias against civilians reflect the state’s inaction eight years after a peace accord removed a powerful rebel group from the field.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: WSJ World
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