Military··Severity 8
How a U.S. Ground Operation in Iran Could Unfold
Military experts said limited raids could happen, but a large-scale invasion is unlikely.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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