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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Gulf states come under Iranian fire as US strikes intensify

Tehran targets multiple countries across the region as the wave of US strikes on Iran steps up.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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