Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine adapts strikes on Russian energy industry to hit critical components
Kyiv is shifting its long-range drone campaign to keep plants offline for longer
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
46%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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