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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Ukraine adapts strikes on Russian energy industry to hit critical components

Kyiv is shifting its long-range drone campaign to keep plants offline for longer

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

46%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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