← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 6

Russia issues international wanted notice against Telegram founder Pavel Durov for aiding terrorism

Moscow on Wednesday said it had issued an international wanted notice for Russian-born Telegram CEO Pavel Durov for "complicity in terrorism". Russian security services accused Durov of failing to remove "channels, chats and bots" on the popular messaging platform allegedly used by Ukraine to recruit people for deadly sabotage operations across Russia.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

29%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

Checking access status…