Geopolitical··Severity 6
Nigerian Colonel Behind Alleged Tinubu Coup Plot Says Failed Promotion Pushed Him , Reveals How He Was Lured By Army Chiefs
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: saharareporters.com
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