Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trump Is Triggering a Middle East Nuclear Arms Race
His deal to provide nuclear technology to Saudi Arabia encourages weaponization.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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