Geopolitical··Severity 6
IRGC says will deliver retaliatory strikes against US facilities
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated "the aggressor will be punished"
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Checking access status…