← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

US strikes hit Iran for seventh consecutive night

The US command says it is conducting more strikes to degrade Iran's armed forces, as Iran reports explosions near the Strait of Hormuz.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

Checking access status…