Geopolitical··Severity 6
IEA Warns Mideast Hostilities Are Increasing Oil Supply Concerns
The International Energy Agency said it’s “closely monitoring the situation in oil markets” as escalating hostilities in the Middle East increase the concerns over security of supplies.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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