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Military··Severity 9

Lebanon, Israel to hold next talks in Italy on 4 August

Lebanon, Israel to hold next talks in Italy on 4 August Lebanon and Israel are scheduled to hold their next round of US-brokered talks on 4 August in Italy, a Lebanese official told Reuters on Wednesday. The two longtime foes have held more than three months of face-to-face talks, billed as a way to put a permanent end to the war since 2 March. The ambassador-level direct meetings are unusual for countries that remain formally at war and have had no normal diplomatic relations through decades of invasion, military occupation and cross-border conflict. Five meetings hosted by the United States produced a framework deal late last month which foresees the disarmament of Hezbollah, the progressive withdrawal of Israeli troops from southern Lebanon and the deployment of Lebanese troops.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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