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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Zelensky seeks to provoke World War III by attacking Iranian ships — Finnish politician

Armando Mema believes Iran can take retaliatory measures in accordance with international law

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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