Geopolitical··Severity 6
Protests over defense minister’s dismissal spread across 14 Ukrainian cities
The largest rally is taking place in Kiev, where hundreds have gathered near the government quarter
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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