Military··Severity 9
US rhetoric 'all about amping up' but strategy for a deal with Iran unclear
After a twelfth night of US strikes, Iran has hit US bases in Jordan and Kuwait, claiming several military assets were destroyed. This also comes after rebel Houthis in Yemen struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, further expanding the conflict. FRANCE 24's Kethevane Gorjestani tells us more.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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