Geopolitical··Severity 6
US borrows from ISIS playbook with latest strikes on Iran, diplomat says
"Strikes targeting watchtowers and electricity power plants in Chabahar resemble something the Islamic State group would do," Esmaeil Baghaei said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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