Geopolitical··Severity 8
IEA chief warns Strait of Hormuz crisis threatens global energy security
Fatih Birol says 'oil security is still a critical issue' and world should be 'worried' if situation does not improve.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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