Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia launches combined missile and drone attack: air defence downs 320 assets, hits recorded at 20 sites
Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone attack on Ukraine on the night of 29-30 July. Ukrainian air defence wiped out 320 out of 358 air assets; the attack is still ongoing.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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