Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine hits major oil terminal in Russia's St Petersburg
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says the target is key infrastructure "that generates revenue for Russia's war".
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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