Social··Severity 6
Africa faces up to $20 billion losses from 'super' El Nino: AfDB
The African Development Bank (AfDB) says such an event could trigger mass migration from severely affected areas and inflict losses of between $10 billion and $20 billion on African economies.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
25%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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