Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: US launches new attacks; Houthis attack 2 Saudi oil tankers
US, Iran trade new threats as more explosions are reported in Iranian cities including Sirik, Ahvaz and Bushehr.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Checking access status…