Natural··Severity 7
Why a new war in Yemen could be different for the Houthis
Recent developments strengthen anti-Houthi forces in Yemen as signs indicate that a re-eruption of the war is imminent.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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