Military··Severity 6
Zelenskyy replaces top Ukraine general in biggest military shake-up since 2024
President chooses 43-year-old Mykhailo Drapatyi to replace Oleksandr Syrsky in generational shift in Kyiv’s military leadership
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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